Themes
- General mood is “risk off”
- U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls much stronger at +467k from talk of +110k
- Euro outperforming the Dollar on technical buying
What’s Moving
The story on Friday was the Non-Farm Payrolls report, with payrolls printing much stronger than expected, but the Unemployment rate rising. This shows that while a lot of new jobs have been created, massive revisions and seasonal adjustment is actually behind the stronger headline number.
The Dollar was strong against all of the majors on Friday, with the only exception being the Euro, which was the strongest o the majors. Talk is of technical buying supporting the Euro.
Oil prices again surged, while gold also rose slightly.
Thoughts
Expect the usual quiet start to the week in Asia today, with China also back after its Luna New Year holidays. Local data today sees:
- Australian Job Advertisements, and
- Chinese Caixin Services PMI (E: 50.5)
Pivot Points
Currency | 2nd Pvt SPPT | 1st Pvt SPPT | PIVOT | 1st Pvt RSST | 2nd Pvt RSST |
EUR/USD | 1.1374 | 1.1411 | 1.1447 | 1.1484 | 1.1520 |
USD/JPY | 114.49 | 114.87 | 115.15 | 115.53 | 115.81 |
CHF/USD | 0.9165 | 0.9210 | 0.9234 | 0.9279 | 0.9303 |
GBP/USD | 1.3439 | 1.3484 | 1.3549 | 1.3594 | 1.3659 |
AUD/USD | 0.6991 | 0.7033 | 0.7092 | 0.7134 | 0.7193 |
CAD/USD | 1.2645 | 1.2754 | 1.2770 | 1.2879 | 1.2895 |