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Forex Fundamental Analysis-10/02/2022

Themes 

  • General mood is “risk off” 
  • BoE’s Pill: BoE should move slowly in raising rates  
  • Some risk appetite entered the market, but majors still stuck in ranges  

What’s Moving  

A little bit of movement overnight, but the majors remained within familiar ranges, as a little bit of risk appetite emerged to support commodity currencies, largely at the expense of the Dollar and the Yen. Sterling was hurt by comments from BoE Chief Economic Pill that the BoE should move slowly in raising rates.  

Oil rose slightly after a tighter than expected inventory report, while gold traded slightly weaker.  

Thoughts 

Expect a quiet day locally today amid a lack of major trading incentives overnight and ahead of tonight’s U.S. CPI data, which the market has been waiting for.  

Asian session data today sees:  

  • Japanese PPI (E: 8.2%)  
  • Australian M1 Inflation Expectations   
  • Chinese M2 Money Supply (E: 9.2%)  

Pivot Points 

Currency 2nd Pvt SPPT 1st Pvt SPPT PIVOT 1st Pvt RSST 2nd Pvt RSST 
EUR/USD 1.1378 1.1402 1.1424 1.1448 1.1470 
USD/JPY  115.14 115.33 115.50 115.69 115.86 
CHF/USD   0.9206 0.9226 0.9239 0.9259 0.9272 
GBP/USD 1.3487 1.3513 1.3550 1.3576 1.3613 
AUD/USD 0.7118 0.7149 0.7171 0.7202 0.7224 
CAD/USD  1.2720 1.2826 1.2770 1.2876 1.2820 

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